CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2022-01-14T13:38:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2022-01-14T13:38ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/18827/-1
CME Note: Visible in SW of STEREO A COR2 and SOHO LASCO C2/C3, moving quickly through the FOV. Associated with a large eruption from AR 12925 (S33W40), visible in SDO AIA 171/193/304 and STEREO A EUVI 195 beginning 2022-01-14T12:54Z. UPDATE: There appears to be a weak component rotation of two components of magnetic field at around 2022-01-17T14:00Z, preceded by drop in density/temperature. However, according to Lan, there is no sign of a shock and there appears to be no ICME arrival on 2022-01-17.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-01-16T18:42Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 57.3333%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.6 - 5.6
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -43.80 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2022-01-18T14:30Z
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